Experts in Pakistan have shared an early estimate for Eid-ul-Azha 2026, suggesting the festival is likely to fall on May 27. The prediction is based on scientific calculations related to the moon sighting for the Islamic month of Zul Hijjah.
According to Khalid Ijaz Mufti, the moon for 1447 Hijri is expected to be born between the night of May 16 and 17. He stated that the expected time of birth is around 1:15am, which is a key factor in determining visibility.
Moon Visibility and Sighting Possibility
Experts believe the moon will be visible on the evening of May 17. By that time, it will have aged enough to be sighted across different parts of the country.
In major cities such as Karachi and Peshawar, the moon is expected to remain visible after sunset. This increases the chances of confirmation through visual sighting.
However, weather conditions will play a crucial role. Clear skies will improve visibility, while cloudy conditions may delay confirmation.
Likely Start of Zul Hijjah
If the moon is sighted on May 17, the first day of Zul Hijjah will begin on May 18. This timeline aligns with the traditional lunar calendar followed in Pakistan.
As a result, Eid-ul-Azha would likely be observed on Wednesday, May 27.
Possibility of Same-Day Eid With Saudi Arabia
If the moon is sighted as expected, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia may celebrate Eid on the same day.
This alignment often depends on moon sighting outcomes in both countries. Therefore, the current estimate suggests a strong possibility of synchronisation.
Alternative Date if Moon Is Not Sighted
If the moon is not sighted on May 17, the timeline will shift. In that case, Zul Hijjah would begin a day later.
Consequently, Eid-ul-Azha would likely fall on Thursday, May 28.
This possibility highlights the importance of confirmed moon sighting reports.
Final Decision Rests With Official Committee
Despite scientific predictions, the final announcement will come from the Central Ruet-e-Hilal Committee.
The committee will review reports from across the country before confirming the official date.
Therefore, the public is advised to wait for the official declaration.
Conclusion: A Likely Date With Final Confirmation Pending
Experts have provided a strong estimate for Eid-ul-Azha 2026. May 27 remains the most likely date based on current calculations.
However, the final decision will depend on moon sighting conditions.
As always, the official announcement will confirm when the festival will be observed across Pakistan.
