Larry Johnson says any reported attack during funeral would fundamentally alter Iran’s security posture and regional calculations
Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson has warned that any alleged Israeli attempt to target Mojtaba Khamenei during the funeral ceremonies for Iran’s late supreme leader would risk triggering a severe regional escalation, according to remarks circulated in media interviews and on social media.
Johnson said the funeral could mark Mojtaba Khamenei’s first major public appearance, making security concerns particularly significant. However, he stressed that any reported attempt to assassinate him would carry far-reaching military and political consequences.
According to Johnson, such a move could dramatically intensify tensions between Iran and Israel and eliminate any remaining prospects for restraint. He argued that Iran possesses advanced missile capabilities and claimed Tehran would likely respond forcefully if senior leadership figures were targeted.
Analyst outlines possible military consequences
Johnson maintained that an attack on a prominent member of Iran’s leadership during a high-profile public event could reshape the conflict and significantly increase the risk of direct military confrontation.
He further claimed that any escalation could place prolonged pressure on regional security while increasing the likelihood of retaliatory actions. His remarks reflect his personal assessment and have not been independently verified by official government sources.
Political impact could extend beyond the battlefield
Johnson also argued that such an incident could influence internal political debates within Iran. He suggested that competing views over future relations with Israel could shift if senior leaders or members of the ruling establishment became targets during official ceremonies.
His comments come as regional tensions remain elevated following recent military confrontations, while diplomatic efforts continue to reduce hostilities and prevent further escalation across the Middle East. Neither Israeli nor Iranian officials have publicly commented on Johnson’s specific claims regarding the reported funeral security scenario.
🇮🇷 🇮🇱 If Israel touches Khamenei's son at the funeral, nothing holds Iran back.
Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson weighs in on the fear hanging over this weekend's funeral, that Israel might try to assassinate Mojtaba Khamenei during what would likely be his first public… https://t.co/l7dTOlrhLy pic.twitter.com/89rc92ioL5
— Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) June 30, 2026
