Monsoon forecast reports indicate that monsoon rains will continue across Pakistan till August, bringing the risk of flooding and urban disruption. According to the Meteorological Department, a fresh monsoon forecast predicts continued rainfall across the upper and central regions of the country through July 24, with another heavy spell likely to follow.
Deputy Director Irfan Virk of the Meteorological Department confirmed that the current monsoon forecast includes continued showers in northern and central Punjab, Gilgit-Baltistan, parts of Balochistan, and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. He also stated that a fifth wave of the monsoon forecast will impact the country in August, and citizens should remain alert for weather updates and warnings.
The latest monsoon forecast warns of thunderstorms and strong winds in KP, Punjab, Islamabad, Gilgit-Baltistan, northeast Balochistan, and Kashmir. Isolated heavy and torrential rain is expected in upper KP, northeastern Punjab, and the Potohar region. The monsoon forecast also indicates hot and humid conditions in southern Pakistan over the next 24 hours.
Under the monsoon forecast, the Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) Punjab has issued an alert for flood-prone regions, especially areas near rivers and streams. Due to the ongoing monsoon rains and glacier melt, the Indus River is facing low-level flooding at Tarbela, Kalabagh, Chashma, and Taunsa. A similar situation has been observed in the Chenab River at Khanki, though water levels at Marala, Qadirabad, and Trimmu remain normal.
Water flows under the monsoon forecast are being closely monitored. The Tarbela Dam is at 79% capacity, while Mangla Dam is currently holding 50%. On the Indian side, reservoirs on rivers such as the Sutlej, Ravi, and Beas are filled up to 36%.
The PDMA has implemented a monsoon forecast-based emergency preparedness strategy, directing all district administrations to stay on high alert. Emergency control rooms are actively monitoring the flood risk around the clock to ensure swift response in affected areas.
This monsoon forecast also raises concerns over urban flooding in densely populated cities like Lahore, Rawalpindi, Faisalabad, Gujranwala, and Sialkot. The government has instructed municipal authorities to take immediate drainage measures and prepare for potential disasters. So far, 135 people have died and 479 have been injured due to rain-related incidents across Punjab, with 156 houses damaged.
The PDMA, in light of the monsoon forecast, has urged citizens to avoid unnecessary travel and flooded areas, emphasizing the need for public cooperation and vigilance. Financial aid is being provided to affected families as directed by Punjab Chief Minister Maryam Nawaz.
Authorities are stressing that adherence to the monsoon forecast and timely updates can help minimize loss of life and property. Citizens are advised to contact emergency helplines to report incidents or seek help.
