ISLAMABAD – Awami Muslim League (AML) chief and former federal minister Sheikh Rashid Ahmed has warned that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is unlikely to de-escalate tensions in the lead-up to the Bihar elections, suggesting that provocations may continue despite a recently announced ceasefire.
Sheikh Rashid described May as a critical month, particularly the next 17 days, as regional tensions remain high. “The Bihar election remains a political burden for Modi. The fight isn’t over yet,” he said.
Sheikh Rashid urged Pakistan to stay vigilant, cautioning that the risk of further military escalation cannot be dismissed. He pointed out that Pakistan had previously shot down more than five Indian aircraft, emphasizing that the current situation is merely a ceasefire, not peace.
“If another conflict breaks out, it could be extremely dangerous,” he warned, adding that India’s interest in areas like Bahawalpur and Muridke has long been a concern, and that New Delhi had likely underestimated the weaknesses in its own defense systems.
On broader regional dynamics, Rashid stressed the need for dialogue to resolve long-standing disputes over Kashmir and water resources. He noted that rising tensions could easily inflame the situation in Kashmir, potentially leading to further instability.
Addressing the possibility of nuclear conflict, Rashid ruled out Pakistan using a large-scale bomb, citing the significant Muslim population in India. “There are more Muslims in India than in Pakistan,” he said, accusing Modi of harboring deep-seated animosity toward Indian Muslims.

