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Bhasha Dam construction to cost $23 billion to Pakistan: Engr. Suleman

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan will have to spend at least $23 billion on the construction of Diamir Bhasha Dam, a mega water and hydel power project. Total initial cost of Dam’s construction, including power plants, is around $14 billion.

However, it does not include the anticipated cost of $3 billion to develop transmission lines for the transmission of electricity to be generated from the hydel power plants and another $6 billion for the construction of roads to access Bhasha Dam from all sides.

Engr. Suleman Khan, chairman of Sind Tas Water Council-based in Lahore, disclosed this in an exclusive chat with The Truth International (TTI) on Tuesday from Lahore. Suleman Khan is known as an expert of water issues, including dams in Pakistan.

He said that $9 billion cost of construction of transmission lines and roads had not been mentioned in the initial cost of $14 billion of the Bhasha Dam. He pointed out that $14 billion will be required to develop dam and hydel power plants and another $9 billion will be needed for the transmission lines of power plants and roads to access the mega water and power project.

Engr. Suleman, nonetheless, candidly said that Pakistan is not in a position to finance this mega water and hydel power project. And this is one of the key reasons which delayed the construction of Diamir Bhasha Dam for two decades.

Who will finance $23 billion for this project and in these circumstances when Pakistan is experiencing a political and economic crisis? He raised this question during discussion about the project.

Suleman also stated that Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif wants to build Bhasha Dam by 2026, against its original deadline of completion in 2028, but the real issue is that “the money will come from where”.

Bhasha Dam is perhaps the only mega project in Pakistan which carries the inauguration name plates of four previous governments _ Musharraf government, PPP regime, PML-N government and PTI government.

Many governments have changed since the conception of the project and Bhasha Dam is still at its initial stage.

Moreover, the previous PTI government signed an agreement with a joint venture of China Power and Frontier Works Organisation (FWO) for the construction of the Diamer-Bhasha dam. This agreement involved an amount of 442 billion rupees. The agreement was signed on May 13, 2020 and work on the project. The beginning of construction of this mega dam, 20 years after its planning, seemed a major achievement of the PTI government led by Prime Minister Imran Khan.

The state controlled Chinese company, China Power, holds 70 per cent stake in this venture while the Frontier Works Organisation, a mega commercial construction company, a subsidiary of the Army Welfare Trust, founded by the Pakistan Army, holds 30pc share. The contract covers construction of a diversion system, main dam, access bridge and the 21-MWs Tangir hydropower project.

The CEO Diamer-Bhasha dam project Amir Bashir Chaudhry and authorised representative of China Power Yang Jiandu signed the agreement on behalf of the Water and Power Development Authority (Wapda) and the joint venture, respectively. Water Resources Minister Faisal Vawda, Chinese Ambassador Yao Jing, Water Resources Secretary Mohammad Ashraf, Wapda chairman retired Lt Gen Muzammil Hussain, Pakistan Army engineer-in-chief Lt Gen Moazzam Ejaz and FWO director general Maj Gen Kamal Azfar attended the signing ceremony.

The Wapda chairman hoped that the Diamer-Bhasha dam would be completed as per the timelines to cope with the increasing water and electricity requirements of the country. The dam project with a total financial outlay of about Rs1,406.5bn would be completed in 2028, he said.

The eight million acre feet (MAF) reservoir with 272-metre height will be the tallest roller compact concrete (RCC) dam in the world. It will have a spillway, 14 gates and five outlets for flushing out silt. The diversion system involves two tunnels and a diversion canal — all three having one kilometre length each. The bridge — a box girder structure — under the contract will be constructed downstream of the dam structure while the 21MW power plant will be built to meet energy requirements of the project during construction.

Before this agreement, the past three governments wasted 19 years but they could not complete the process of land acquirement for this US$14 billion project.

In last 19 years the previous governments _ of Gen. Pervez Musharraf, Asif Ali Zardari and Nawaz Sharif laid the foundation-stones of the Bhasha Dam construction one by one, drummed it well to win the hearts and support of the general public, but all these governments left the project at the beginning. Musharraf ruled Pakistan for straight nine years, from Oct 1999 to 2008 (before the formation of PPP govt) while Pakistan People’s Party reigned the country for five years (April 2008 to March 2013, while Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz) also run the country for five consecutive years, from June 2013 to May 2018, but the process of purchasing the land to build this mega dam could not be started.

The PML(N) government paced up the land acquisition process, but its five-year also ended without completing the task of acquiring land. How much serious is the PML(N) government in this project it can be guessed from the fact that it is allocated less than one percent of the total cost of the project in each budget for the dam.

In other words, a dam that was to be completed in 14 years at a cost of $13-14 billion US dollars, its land could not be purchased in 19 years. This is the way our rulers try to solve the energy problem.

On several occasions the former Federal Minister for Finance Senator Muhammad Ishaq Dar vowed to build two big dams _ Dasu and Basha Dams to meet the shortage of water and electricity. The PML(N) government arranged conference in Washington to get financial support from the donors and the investors to build Diamir Bhasha Dam. But the World Bank foiled that conference by giving the verdict that the government should carry out the risk assessment of the project that also needed an NOC from India. Just imagine, can India give Pakistan an NOC to build a dam that can change the future scenario of Pakistan.

Experts often say every year that if Pakistan builds one big dam, the country can overcome the annual feature of devastation of floods and produce clean energy and meet water requirements for agricultural purposes.

Regarding the Dasu Hydro Power Project the World Bank had approved $588 million IDA loan to support the PML(N) government to build Dasu Dam, a run of the river hydro-project to be built on Indus River. The project would produce more than 4000 MWs of electricity after completion. The Dasu Dam is expected to be completed in 7 years at a cost of 7 to 8 billion dollars. So far the World Bank had provided around $150 million to Pakistan for this project and now land acquisition is going on at a very disappointingly slow pace.

Interesting to note is that the experts in WAPDA have strongly proposed the construction of Bhasha Dam that will not only store water for agricultural purposes but also produce 4,500 MWs of electricity. WAPDA officials are of the opinion that Dasu Dam is run-of-the river dam that will not store water and it will produce electricity only from the river water.

WAPDA experts have told the government and the WB that Bhasha Dam is expensive and it will take more time than Dasu, but its advantage is that it would overcome water shortage in Pakistan that would ultimately support agricultural and economic growth in the country. But the World Bank had supported Dasu Dam/Hydro Power Project.

Dasu Hydropower Project has the potential of producing 4320MW electricity which will be developed in two phases. Under Phase-I, 2,160MW electricity will be produced which will be extended to 4,320MW in future under Phase-II.

BHASHA DAM

Bhasha Dam is a gravity dam, in the preliminary stages of construction, on the River Indus in Gilgit-BaltistanPakistan. Its foundation stone was laid by Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani of Pakistan on 18 October 2011. Upon completion, Diamer-Bhasha Dam would be the highest RCC dam in the world. The dam site is situated near a place called “Bhasha” in Gilgit-Baltistan’s Diamer District, hence the name.

Upon completion, Diamer-Bhasha Dam would (i) produce 4,500 megawatts of electricity through environmentally clean hydropower generation; (ii) store an extra 8,500,000 acre feet (6.4 MAF live storage) of water for Pakistan that would be used for irrigation and drinking; (iii) extend the life of Tarbela Dam located downstream by 35 years; and (iv) control flood damage by the River Indus downstream during high floods.

It will have a height of 272 meters spillway with fourteen gates each 11.5 m x 16.24 m. The gross capacity of the reservoir will be 8,100,000 acre feet (10.0 km), with a live storage of 6,400,000 acre feet (7.9 km). Two underground power houses are being proposed, one on each side of the main dam having six turbines on each side with total installed capacity 4500 MW.

In January 2006, the Government of Pakistan announced the decision to construct 5 multi-purpose storage dams in the country during next 10–12 years.

According to the plan, Diamer-Bhasha Dam project was proposed in the first phase and in November 2008, the Executive Committee of National Economic Council formally approved the project. Council of Common Interests Pakistan, a constitutional body representing the provinces, also approved the construction of the dam. The Prime Minister of Pakistan laid the foundation stone of the project on 18 October 2011.

India’s NOC, construction & cost of Basha Dam: In November 2008, the cost of the Diamer-Bhasha dam was estimated at $12.6 billion, now delay in the construction of the dam had raised its cost to over $14 billion. The World Bank has linked funding for the construction of this dam with the issuance of a No-Objection Certificate (NOC) from India _ which, in other words, is nothing but a technical way to say ‘no’ to provide loans for this project’.

Chief Justice of Pakistan raising funds for Bhasha and Mohmand Dams

Former Chief Justice of Pakistan Justice Saqib Nisar has started raising funds to pave the way for the construction of two dams — Diamir Basha Dam and Mohmand Dam. As the Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf party of Imran Khan has obtained majority in the 2018 elections, it is being anticipated that the PTI, after formation of government, would pace up its efforts to raise funds on urgent basis to start construction of both the dams.

History & Background of Bhasha Dam project

The initial feasibility study of Diamir Basha Dam was conducted in 1984 by Montreal Engineering Co of Canada. In the year 2000, the Musharraf government decided to build Bhasha Dam and appointed consultants for undertaking a detailed project study in 2002. NEAC Consultants, a consortium of Pakistani consultants with Binnie and Partners of the UK, completed their final report in August 2004, confirming techno-economic feasibility of the project. They also carried out engineering design and prepared project tender documents.

Consequently, Wapda invited expression of interest for carrying out detailed design and engineering and review of work done earlier. For reasons of maintaining project parameters of earlier investigations, and of short lead time, it is standard international practice to prefer for the job the consultants who originally carried out the feasibility study and basic designing. This was not done, though NEAC Consultants offer was considered technically and commercially responsive against tenders.

The contract was awarded in July 2005 to Lahmeyer International of Germany, under a joint venture known as Diamer-Bhasha Consultants. They completed project detailed engineering in March 2008 after review of previous data, studies and investigations done by NEAC Consultants. The Musharraf, Zardari and Nawaz Sharif governments ended without achieving much breakthrough in the construction of this mega project.

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I am an experienced writer, analyst, and author. My exposure in English journalism spans more than 28 years. In the past, I have been working with daily The Muslim (Lahore Bureau), daily Business Recorder (Lahore/Islamabad Bureaus), Daily Times, Islamabad, daily The Nation (Lahore and Karachi). With daily The Nation, I have served as Resident Editor, Karachi. Since 2009, I have been working as a Freelance Writer/Editor for American organizations.

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