The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has indicated that the Shawwal moon is highly unlikely to be sighted on the evening of March 19, 2026. As Muslims across the country prepare for Eid-ul-Fitr, the latest scientific assessment suggests that the holy festival may fall a day later than some had hoped.
Astronomical calculations point to poor visibility
According to the PMD, the new moon of Shawwal 1447 AH will be born at 06:23am Pakistan Standard Time on March 19. However, officials explained that the moon’s age at sunset will range between 12 and 13 hours at various observatories nationwide. Typically, experts consider this age insufficient for naked-eye visibility under normal weather conditions.
Because of these factors, the Met Office concluded that the chances of sighting the Shawwal crescent on March 19 are virtually non-existent. Officials emphasised that the forecast relies strictly on scientific and astronomical analysis rather than observational reports.
Final decision rests with Ruet-e-Hilal Committee
Despite the scientific outlook, the PMD clarified that it does not make the official Eid announcement. Instead, the country’s moon sighting authority will review testimonies and evidence before issuing the final decision. In Pakistan, the Central Ruet-e-Hilal Committee holds the constitutional responsibility to confirm the start of Shawwal.
Meanwhile, religious scholars and citizens often await the committee’s meeting with great anticipation, as Eid timing affects travel plans, markets, and family gatherings nationwide. Therefore, even with strong astronomical guidance, observers will still scan the skies on the expected date.
For now, experts advise the public to prepare for Eid-ul-Fitr most likely falling on March 21, pending the committee’s formal confirmation and verified moon sighting reports.
